Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Florida
American Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#173
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#176
Pace70.0#175
Improvement-2.7#291

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#220
First Shot-1.6#228
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#221
Layup/Dunks+2.1#85
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#326
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#177
Freethrows+0.0#170
Improvement-3.7#320

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#135
First Shot+2.0#108
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#243
Layups/Dunks-3.4#307
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#205
Freethrows+3.5#19
Improvement+1.0#118
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 105   @ Davidson L 85-90 21%     0 - 1 +2.8 -3.5 +7.2
  Nov 18, 2015 98   UC Irvine L 60-61 OT 37%     0 - 2 +1.7 -13.8 +15.5
  Nov 21, 2015 210   UNC Greensboro W 65-54 70%     1 - 2 +4.9 -8.6 +14.0
  Nov 28, 2015 244   @ Miami (OH) L 63-64 55%     1 - 3 -2.9 -3.6 +0.7
  Dec 02, 2015 283   @ Stetson W 94-85 66%     2 - 3 +4.0 +13.5 -9.7
  Dec 05, 2015 331   Illinois-Chicago W 88-58 91%     3 - 3 +14.5 +9.5 +4.1
  Dec 08, 2015 162   Massachusetts W 67-63 58%     4 - 3 +1.1 -6.7 +7.7
  Dec 12, 2015 301   Florida Atlantic W 75-61 86%     5 - 3 +1.9 -1.5 +3.4
  Dec 19, 2015 179   @ Detroit Mercy L 89-95 40%     5 - 4 -4.0 -1.7 -1.3
  Dec 22, 2015 312   Bethune-Cookman W 101-96 OT 87%     6 - 4 -8.1 +15.0 -23.4
  Dec 29, 2015 72   George Washington L 50-67 30%     6 - 5 -12.2 -15.8 +1.6
  Jan 02, 2016 185   @ East Carolina W 71-68 42%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +4.5 -1.3 +5.8
  Jan 06, 2016 215   South Florida W 75-64 71%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +4.7 +5.7 -0.4
  Jan 10, 2016 19   @ SMU L 73-88 5%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +3.1 +7.0 -3.9
  Jan 16, 2016 185   East Carolina W 89-69 64%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +15.6 +11.2 +4.0
  Jan 20, 2016 215   @ South Florida W 64-54 49%     10 - 6 4 - 1 +9.5 -2.9 +13.0
  Jan 24, 2016 64   @ Tulsa L 60-75 13%     10 - 7 4 - 2 -3.7 -7.5 +3.6
  Jan 26, 2016 71   Memphis L 86-97 29%     10 - 8 4 - 3 -6.0 +8.4 -13.2
  Jan 31, 2016 29   Connecticut L 41-67 16%     10 - 9 4 - 4 -16.0 -22.9 +5.4
  Feb 04, 2016 192   @ Tulane W 70-62 43%     11 - 9 5 - 4 +9.0 +6.9 +2.8
  Feb 06, 2016 84   Temple L 60-62 33%     11 - 10 5 - 5 +1.7 -7.1 +8.7
  Feb 09, 2016 32   Cincinnati L 51-69 17%     11 - 11 5 - 6 -8.8 -11.9 +2.1
  Feb 13, 2016 59   @ Houston L 58-82 12%     11 - 12 5 - 7 -11.8 -8.5 -5.1
  Feb 17, 2016 71   @ Memphis L 56-73 14%     11 - 13 5 - 8 -6.2 -13.3 +8.2
  Feb 21, 2016 64   Tulsa L 67-75 28%     11 - 14 5 - 9 -2.5 -4.8 +2.3
  Feb 24, 2016 59   Houston L 61-88 25%     11 - 15 5 - 10 -20.7 -14.2 -5.8
  Feb 27, 2016 84   @ Temple L 61-63 17%     11 - 16 5 - 11 +7.5 -3.8 +11.3
  Mar 02, 2016 192   Tulane W 73-65 66%     12 - 16 6 - 11 +3.2 -2.3 +5.1
  Mar 06, 2016 29   @ Connecticut L 46-67 7%     12 - 17 6 - 12 -5.1 -11.2 +3.3
  Mar 10, 2016 192   Tulane L 63-65 55%     12 - 18 -3.9 -7.6 +3.7
Projected Record 12.0 - 18.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%